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Gold Miners, Oil, and Gas: A Technical Outlook

Gareth Soloway (Subscribed)

Summary

This technical analysis video expertly breaks down key market indicators, offering a unique perspective on gold miners, oil, and natural gas, proving that even on vacation, a seasoned strategist like Gareth Soloway delivers invaluable insights. Soloway begins by noting the S&P 500's slight uptick, attributing it to light volume and a post-holiday hangover, while memory chip stocks like SanDisk and Micron show a modest rebound. However, he warns of potential headwinds for these stocks due to SK Hynix's upcoming $29 billion offering in the US, which could flood the market with supply. Shifting to gold, he highlights its sideways movement within a wedge pattern, emphasizing the critical need to watch for a breakout or breakdown. Silver, he notes, is retracing to a previous support level that is now likely acting as resistance. The gold miners, specifically the GDX, present an intriguing chart with a trend line breakdown and a classic retrace to the 'scene of the crime' at a resistance zone, suggesting caution on near-term bullishness. Soloway predicts gold might dip to $3500-$3600 before a potential rally. He then turns to crude oil, expressing short-term bullishness based on a gap fill and technical targets around $79 a barrel, a move of about 15%. This bullishness is contrasted with a mid- to longer-term bearish outlook driven by a slowing US economy and potential shifts in energy sources. He identifies a significant trend line, suggesting a potential drop to the $50-$55 range by year-end. Finally, natural gas is presented as forming a cup and handle pattern, with a potential breakout to $430 if it clears resistance around $3.35, especially as it's poised to become a dominant energy source. The detailed charting and clear explanations make this video a must-watch for anyone interested in these markets.

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